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    Euro area inflation hits 4.0% and EUR/USD fixes at 1.1267 USD

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    Eurostat's flash estimate put euro area inflation at 4.0% for October 2026, released on Wednesday, Nov. 4. The European Central Bank set its euro reference rate at 1.1267 USD that day, above the prior day's rate.

    Key figures

    IndicatorValuePrevious
    Euro area inflation (HICP, year on year)October 20264.0%3.8%September 2026
    ECB reference rate, US dollars per euroNovember 4, 20261.1267 USD1.1179 USDNovember 3, 2026

    Source: Eurostat. Data: B-NKER (b-nker.com), CC BY 4.0.

    What was published

    • Eurostat's flash estimate shows euro area headline inflation at 4.0% year over year for October 2026. That figure edges up from 3.8% in September 2026, and the agency said “Euro area annual inflation is expected to be 4.0% in October 2026, up from 3.8% in September according to a flash estimate from Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.” See our brief on Euro area flash for the full release.
    • The European Central Bank set its reference rate at 1.1267 USD per euro on November 4, 2026. That rate rises from 1.1179 USD on November 3, 2026, the last fixing before it; read more on ECB reference rate, US dollars per.

    Next release

    Thursday, Nov. 5

    Sources

    • Eurostat, Euro area flash inflation, 2026-11-04
    • Eurostat, Euro area flash inflation, previous
    • European Central Bank, ECB reference rate, US dollars per euro, 2026-11-04Source: European Central Bank (ECB), information available free of charge on the ECB website. Data: B-NKER (b-nker.com), CC BY 4.0.
    • European Central Bank, ECB reference rate, US dollars per euro, 2026-11-03Source: European Central Bank (ECB), information available free of charge on the ECB website. Data: B-NKER (b-nker.com), CC BY 4.0.

    Every figure in this article is checked by code against the official source before publication. Editorial policy · Corrections log. Information, not investment advice.

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